中国金融系统风险溢出效应研究——基于溢出指数和波动溢出网络

文章基于溢出指数和波动溢出网络方法，从静态和动态分别度量我国金融系统不同子市场间的风险联动水平及变动趋势。研究结果表明，我国金融系统风险溢出效应整体水平较高，各市场间联动性较强；市场内部滞后效应大于市场之间溢出效应，两两有向溢出效应具有强不对称性；作为我国金融系统的风险中心，货币市场始终处于风险溢出方，但在金融危机时期，其对外风险溢出效应相对减弱，而大宗商品市场、资本市场、房地产市场等其余市场的风险溢出效应相对增强。值得注意的是，当前我国金融系统整体风险溢出水平较高，市场间风险相关性较强，需要进一步加强系统性风险的监测与防范。     

国家高新区创新国际化水平及影响因素研究

创新国际化是增强国家国际竞争力的关键。构建国家高新技术产业开发区创新国际化水平评价指标体系，以2014-2016年我国“一带一路”沿线68个国家高新区为研究对象，运用主成分分析法和二次指派程序方法对国家高新区创新国际化水平及影响因素进行实证研究。结果发现：国家高新区创新国际化以创新主体交互、创新活动融入、创新资源流动、创新绩效提升为本质特征；国家高新区创新国际化水平存在显著的区域不平衡性，东部沿海高新区创新国际化水平较高，中西部高新区创新国际化水平较低；国家高新区地理位置、经济发展、技术水平、政策质量等差异对创新国际化水平差异影响显著，自然生态环境差异对创新国际化水平差异影响不显著。     

Collaborative business models: Aligning and operationalizing alliances

It is not unusual for companies to generate substantial revenue through alliances. However, alliance failure rates are high, leaving much revenue at risk and value unrealized. The big challenge facing managers is to align company interests with alliance interests. Such alignment can only be achieved when executives pay considerable attention to building the right collaborative business model. In this article, we synthesize the insights of the existing literature to arrive at three collaborative business models—sharing, specialization, and allocation—that managers can use to address the specific requirements of their alliances. Because the literature provides limited insight regarding how to operationalize these models, we highlight what managers need to focus on when operationalizing each of these models. We find that the choice for an overall business model is relatively straightforward in most cases but that operationalization of business models requires more complex combinations of management techniques. Finally, we show how the three collaborative business models can be combined to build hybrid models.     

特大城市特种设备安全双重预防标准体系与试点——以上海为例

上海作为国际特大城市,特种设备数量多、占比高,安全形势严峻。近年来,上海就特种设备风险分级管控和隐患排查治理的双重预防性工作机制开展试点,构建起工作标准体系。以制定规范性指导文件为纲,从风险管控、隐患排查和使用单位安全管理评价三个方向延伸,制定相应的具体工作标准,并将试点中采集到的隐患、风险案例,以信息化的手段集成为数据库,用以指导督查工作的标准化,实现隐患与风险的识别,对形成特大型城市特种设备隐患排查、风险管控的标准体系进行有益的探索。     

Explaining vaccination decisions: A system dynamics model of the interaction between epidemiological and behavioural factors

The WHO goal of eradicating measles is delayed by widespread scepticism of parents against the recommended MMR vaccination. In this context, a model of the prevalence of measles that incorporates behavioural aspects is desirable. Parental decisions can be influenced by epidemiological and behavioural factors. The former include vaccination coverage and its impact on the prevalence of the disease. The latter include perceptions of the risk to be infected, which affects vaccination decisions, as well as government campaigns to affect vaccination behaviour, vaccination scares or changes in disease control policies. We develop a model that incorporates both kinds of effects. In particular, we illustrate how incorporating parental response to a change in the prevalence of the disease impacts the outcome of governmental policies aiming to increase the vaccination coverage. While calibrated to measles, this model is also applicable to other childhood diseases, such as pertussis or diphtheria. Different scenarios illustrate the long-term consequences of the interaction between health policies (in particular, vaccination campaigns) or the agenda of social institutions (e.g., drawing attention to specific events to create vaccination scares) and parental reactions. Periodic ups and downs of the disease's prevalence, characteristic of epidemiological feedback, are the consequence of the interaction between parental behaviour and events such as vaccination campaigns or vaccination scares. International and national health authorities, pursuing the fight against measles, may be helped by the potential of the model to provide understanding in the way different predictors of vaccination behaviour interact.     

构建高校预算绩效评价机制的思考

高校预算绩效评价机制,是高校预算绩效管理的重要制度安排。本文探讨构建高校预算绩效评价机制的思路:采取定性指标与定量指标相结合的方法,设计一套基本支出和项目支出绩效评价指标体系,建立以效果为导向、责任与激励相结合的高校预算绩效管理责任制度。     

Household responsibility system and China's agricultural Growth revisited: Addressing endogenous institutional change

The rise of the Household Responsibility System has been widely viewed as a significant contribution to China's agricultural growth. However, this empirical conclusion is rested upon a convenient but doubtful presumption that the process of institutional change, also known as decollectivization, is exogenous. We contribute to this literature by explicitly recognizing the endogeneity of institutional changes, and exploit exogenous variations in lagged weather shocks and initial fixed assets for consistent estimation. With improved data on irrigation, mechanization, weather and institutional changes in a provincial panel data during 1970–1987, the results of panel instrumental estimations reveal that the Household Responsibility System had a significantly positive effect on China's agricultural growth, which was larger than indicated by OLS estimates that suffer from adverse selection and attenuation biases.     

兰州局集团公司车务系统安全标准化体系构建实践

标准化建设是提高铁路企业效率和安全管控能力的重要途径。兰州局集团公司车务系统以标准化为主线,以实现人的行为安全可控为目标,遵循体系建设系统性、充分性、适宜性的要求,坚持体系化、标准化、闭环管理、流程再造的设计原则,从标准体系及标准评价体系、标准化车间、标准化生产指挥中心和智能行车系统等方面,对车务系统安全标准化体系功能进行设计,为构建管理规范、标准统一、保障有力的车务系统安全标准化体系提供支撑。     

铁路企业建立职业经理人制度探索

为进一步深化铁路企业改革,加快完善市场化经营机制,应积极探索建立职业经理人制度。在阐述职业经理人制度政策依据的基础上,提出推进职业经理人制度建设的基本条件,即建立公司化的法人治理结构,并从优化产权结构、明确权责划分、推进董事会建设、发挥职业经理人作用等方面对建立健全铁路企业法人治理结构进行论述。从管理机制、激励约束机制、引进退出机制3个方面,探讨铁路企业建立职业经理人制度形成机制,提出铁路企业应按照分层分类改革原则,逐步推行职业经理人制度。     

知识视角下跨界创业团队交互记忆系统作用机理研究

在当前激烈的市场竞争下，很多企业选择跨界创业，而现有相关研究相对较少。从知识视角入手，通过分析跨界创业团队交互记忆系统在促进团队内知识共享、整合方面的作用，分析其对团队知识转化的作用机理，并构建基于知识视角的跨界创业团队交互记忆系统作用模型。通过对跨界创业团队交互记忆系统的作用机理进行探究，了解跨界创业在促进企业发展方面的作用，以期丰富跨界创业相关理论，并对现实中企业跨界创业行为起到一定的促进和帮助。